seminari Varese

[Sonia Petrone <sonia.petrone@uni-bocconi.it>]

AVVISO DI SEMINARI

Dipartimento di Economia, Facoltà di Economia, Università dell'Insubria
Via Ravasi 2, 21100 Varese
tel. +39 0332 215101-215110  fax  +39 0332 235286


mercoledi' 07 marzo 2001
ore 16.00, aula 3.03
Via Ravasi 2

Gabriella Margaria (Politecnico di Torino)
"Statistical modelling of expert opinions for dynamic risk control".

Riassunto
A statistical methodology for dynamic risk control is discussed. The
research is
aimed at constructing tools for the analysis of expert opinions, coming
from within a
company, about the risk involved in the production of a new commercial
product or
service.
Focus is on risk events and on the analysis of the expert assessments of

probabilities, losses and correlations of such events. The novelty with
respect to
earlier literature is the fundamental dynamical character of the
methodology, which is
structured over a rescoring loop of preventive actions and risk
assessments.
This is joint work with M. Gasparini and H. P. Wynn.

---------------------------------

martedi' 13 marzo 2001
ore 16.00, aula 3.03
Via Ravasi 2

Duncan Murdoch  (University of Western Ontario, Canada)
"Towards Perfect Sampling for Bayesian Mixture Priors".
Paper available at: http://www.stats.uwo.ca/faculty/murdoch/research

-----------------------------------
Per informazioni,
http://eco.uninsubria.it/webam/Seminari/index.htm
o contattare
Sonia Petrone
spetrone@eco.uninsubria.it

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