Annuncio Seminario - Prof. A.P. Dawid

[Luca Tardella <luca.tardella@uniroma1.it>]

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AVVISO DI SEMINARIO
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Il giorno giovedi' 3 marzo 2005, alle ore 15.00, nella Sala 34 del
Dipartimento di Statistica, 
Probabilitą e Statistiche Applicate dell'Universitą di Rma "La
Sapienza", 

il Prof. A.P. DAWID (Department of Statistical Science, University
College London) 

terrą un seminario dal titolo CAUSALITY:  Conceptions, Connexions,
Confusions, Contentions. 


Tutti gli interessati sono invitati a partecipare. Segue abstract del
seminario.
 
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CAUSALITY:  Conceptions, Connexions, Confusions, Contentions
A. P. DAWID
Department of Statistical Science
University College London

ABSTRACT

Modern statistical approaches to causal inference are based on a variety
of distinct foundations, 
ingredients, assumptions and methods. These involve differing conceptions
of the effects of 
interventions, or of stable relationships across regimes; disagreement
over the roles of 
hypothetical and counterfactual outcomes; and varying semantics and uses
for algebraic, 
graphical and other representations.  There does however seem to be
fairly broad agreement 
that causal inference requires significant modifications and extensions
to standard statistical 
machinery.  I shall argue that this is mistaken, and that the power
of existing statistical and 
decision-theoretic tools to address causal issues is much greater than is
commonly allowed.