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Call for Papers - ISIPTA '05
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ISIPTA '05
4th International Symposium on Imprecise Probabilities
and Their Applications
Preliminary Call for Papers
July 20-23, 2005
Carnegie Mellon University
Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, USA
http://www.sipta.org/isipta05
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The ISIPTA meetings are one of the primary international forums to
present and discuss new results on the theory and applications of
imprecise probabilities. Imprecise probability has a wide scope, being
a generic term for the many mathematical or statistical models which
measure chance or uncertainty without sharp numerical
probabilities. These models include belief functions, Choquet
capacities, comparative probability orderings, convex sets of
probability measures, fuzzy measures, interval-valued probabilities,
possibility measures, plausibility measures, and upper and lower
expectations or previsions. Imprecise probability models are needed in
inference problems where the relevant information is scarce, vague or
conflicting, and in decision problems where preferences may also be
incomplete.
Themes of the symposium
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Although the symposium will be open to contributions on all
aspects of imprecise probability, three main themes will be
emphasised: decision-making, algorithms, and real applications.
Topics of interest include, but are not limited to:
models of coherent imprecise assessments
convex sets of probability measures (credal sets)
interval-valued probabilities
upper and lower expectations or previsions
non-additive set functions, and in particular Choquet
capacities (and Choquet integration), fuzzy measures,
possibility measures, belief and plausibility measures
random sets
rough sets
comparative probability orderings
qualitative reasoning about uncertainty
imprecision in utilities and expected utilities
limit laws for imprecise probabilities
physical models of imprecise probability
philosophical foundations for imprecise probabilities
psychological models for imprecision and indeterminacy
in probability assessments
elicitation techniques for imprecise probabilities
robust statistics
probabilistic bounding analysis
data mining with imprecise probabilities/missing data
estimation and learning of imprecise probability models
decision making with imprecise probabilities
ambiguity aversion and economic models of imprecise probability
uncertainty in financial markets
algorithms for manipulating imprecise probabilities
Dempster-Shafer theory
information algebras and probabilistic argumentation systems
probabilistic logic, propositional and first-order
credal networks and other graphical models
credal classification
applications in statistics, economics, finance,
management, engineering, computer science
and artificial intelligence, psychology,
philosophy and related fields
Workshop on Financial Risk Assessment
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There will be a workshop addendum to the conference,
to be held on July 24, with invited speakers on the topic
of financial risk assessment, to which all of the ISIPTA'05
participants are welcome, at no additional registration cost.
Details will be announced later.
Location
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ISIPTA '05 will be held at Carnegie Mellon University,
in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, United States.
Important dates
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Paper submission deadline: February 10 2005
Notification of acceptance: April 1 2005
Deadline for revised papers: May 1 2005
Symposium: July 20-23 2005
Submissions
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Details on format will be announced later (submission
will be electronic at the web site).
Program Board
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Fabio Cozman (Universidade de Sao Paulo, Brazil)
Robert Nau (Duke University, USA)
Teddy Seidenfeld (Carnegie Mellon University, USA)
Steering Committee
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Gert de Cooman (Universiteit Gent, Belgium)
Fabio G. Cozman (Universidade de São Paulo, Brazil)
Serafin Moral (Universidad de Granada, Spain)
Robert Nau (Duke University, USA)
Teddy Seidenfeld (Carnegie Mellon University, USA)
Marco Zaffalon (IDSIA-Istituto Dalle Molle di Studi
sull'Intelligenza Artificiale, Switzerland)
Questions
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If you have any questions about the symposium,
please contact the Organising Committee preferably
by email (teddy@stat.cmu.edu - fgcozman@usp.br),
or at the following address:
Teddy Seidenfeld
Department of Statistics
Carnegie Mellon University
Pittsburgh PA 15213
Phone: 412 - 268 - 2209
Fax: 412 - 268 - 1440
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Serena Doria
Dipartimento di Scienze della Terra
Universita' "G.d'Annunzio"
Via dei Vestini, 31
66013 Chieti
Italia
tel 39-0871-3556154
fax 39-0871-3556146
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