Seminar on SOCIO-DEMOGRAPHIC FACTORS AND THE FUTURE OF THE WELFARE STATE IN ITALY

[Franco Peracchi <franco.peracchi@uniroma2.it>]

                      Gruppo di lavoro MURST 40%
   Fattori socio-demografici e futuro dello stato sociale in Italia

                         Facolta` di Economia
                   Universita` di Roma "Tor Vergata"

                 Dipartimento di Scienze Demografiche
                   Universita` di Roma "La Sapienza"


                              Seminar on
SOCIO-DEMOGRAPHIC FACTORS AND THE FUTURE OF THE WELFARE STATE IN ITALY

                      Villa Mondragone, Frascati
                           March 16-17, 2001

------------------------------------------------------------------------

                                Program

Friday, March 16

Morning
10.30-11.30, Presentation of the research
Graziella CASELLI
Socio-demographic factors and the future of the welfare state in Italy


11.30-13.00, Session 1
Chair:  Franco PERACCHI
The impact of socio-demographic changes on the social security system

Antonio GOLINI
Population ageing in Italy. Trends and possible policy responses

Graziella CASELLI, Elisabetta BARBI and Rosa Maria LIPSI
Demographic variables and their impact on innovative pension schemes


13.30-14.30, Lunch break


Afternoon
14.30-16.00, Session 2
Chair: Antonio GOLINI

Household with old people from a life course viewpoint: characteristics
and perspectives

Franco BONARINI and Maria CASTIGLIONI
Old persons in households and in non-household institutions: key
determinants

Renata CLERICI, Stefano MAZZUCCO and Fausta ONGARO
Household living arrangements: the role of kinship


16.00-16.30, Coffee break


16.30-18.00, Session 3
Chair: Fausta ONGARO
Intergenerational flows between generations in Italy: Social Security
and beyond

Gustavo DE SANTIS
An "equitable and stable" PAYG transfer system

Antonino DI PINO and Massimo MUCCIARDI
Retirement decisions in Italy: a logistic model

------------------------------------------------------------------------

Saturday, March 17

Morning
9.30-11.00, Session 4

Chair: Gustavo DE  SANTIS
Socio-demographic changes, labour force participation, earnings and
pensions

Ugo COLOMBINO
A model for evaluating the effects of individual incentives on
retirement decisions

Agar BRUGIAVINI and Franco PERACCHI
Micro modelling of retirement behaviour in Italy


11.00-11.30, Coffe break


11.30-13.00, Session 5
Chair: Franco PERACCHI

Axel BOERSCH-SUPAN
Micro modelling of retirement behaviour in Germany

John RUST
Structural models of retirement behaviour: issues and perspectives


13.00-14.30, Lunch break


14.30-16,00, Spontaneous papers
Chair: Graziella CASELLI

Vincenzo ANDRIETTI
Occupational pensions and interfirm job mobility in the European Union

Emanuele BALDACCI and Donatella TUZI
Demographic trends and pension system in Italy: an assessment of the
reforms in the 1990s

Luca INGLESE
Early retirement in Italy: recent trends

Stefano MAZZUCCO
Which households for people becoming old in the next future?

Luca SPATARO
Will recent Italian pension reforms be really effective?  Testing
economic rationality of retirement choices: a discrete-time duration
analysis of working careers.

Maria Rita TESTA
Transitions from work to retirement in Italy: demographic determinants
and changes over the early reform period

------------------------------------------------------------------------

For further information, please contact:

Ms. Michela Porinelli
Facolta` di Economia
Universita` di Roma Tor Vergata
tel: +39 06 7259 5932
fax: +39 06 2040 219
e-mail: porinell@sefemeq.uniroma2.it


------------------------------------------------------------------------
Franco Peracchi                    tel: +39 06 7259 5934
Faculty of Economics               tel: +39 06 7259 5932 (Secret.)
Tor Vergata University             fax: +39 06 2040 219
I-00133 Rome, Italy                e-mail: franco.peracchi@uniroma2.it
Web page: http://www.economia.uniroma2.it/sefemeq/professori/peracchi
------------------------------------------------------------------------


=================================================================

       Forum per la Societa' Italiana di Statistica

                       AVVERTENZA

     il nuovo servizio viene offerto in via sperimentale
     dal Dipartimento di Scienze Statistiche di Perugia
           con il software Majordomo 1.94.5
       istallato su una Workstation UNIX (AIX 4.3.3)

           Ci scusiamo per eventuali disguidi !

=================================================================