Francesco Bartolucci
Professor of Statistics
Via A. Pascoli, 20
06123 Perugia
Tel. +39 075 5855227
Fax +39 075 5855950
bart(AT)stat.unipg.it
Coordinator of the PhD
program Mathematical and Statistical Methods
for the Economic and Social Sciences
Associate Editor of Metron, Statistical Modelling and Statistical Methods and
Applications
Interessi di ricerca (Research interests)
Rapporti
tecnici (Technical
reports)
Pubblicazioni
(Published papers)
Didattica
(Teaching)
Statistica II (fino
A.A. 2006/07)
Metodi Statistici per la Finanza
Valutazione di campagne di
comunicazione (fino A.A. 2008/09)
Interessi di
ricerca (Research interests)
Latent variable models
Marginal models for categorical data
Longitudinal categorical
data
Rapporti tecnici (Techinical reports)
&
Articoli sotto revisione (Papers under revision)
1. Bartolucci, F. and Nigro, V. (2009), Approximate conditional inference for panel logit
models allowing for state dependence and unobserved heterogeneity, arXiv:math/0702774
2. Bartolucci,
F., Pennoni, F. and Vittadini, G. (2009), Assessment of
school performance through a multilevel latent Markov Rasch model, arXiv:0909.4961v1
3. Bartolucci, F. and Pennoni F. (2009), Impact evaluation of job training programs by a latent variable model
Pubblicazioni (Published papers)
lista formato pdf (list in pdf
format
- citations - h_index)
1. Bartolucci, F. (2009), On the conditional logistic estimator in two-arm
experimental studies with non-compliance and before-after binary outcomes, Statistics
in Medicine (previous tech. report arXiv:0710.2608).
2.
Bartolucci, F. and Nigro, V. (2009), A Dynamic
Model for Binary Panel Data with Unobserved Heterogeneity Admitting a root-n
Consistent Conditional Estimator, Econometrica.
3.
Bartolucci, F. and Farcomeni, A. (2009), A Note on the Mixture Transition Distribution and
Hidden Markov Models, Journal of Time Series Analysis.
4.
Bartolucci, F. and Scrucca, L. (2009), Point
Estimation Methods with Applications to Item Response Theory Models, International
Encyclopedia of Education, 3rd Edition, Editors: B. McGaw, E. Baker and P. P.
Peterson, Elsevier.
5.
Bartolucci, F. and Farcomeni, A. (2009), A multivariate
extension of the dynamic logit model for longitudinal data based on a latent
Markov heterogeneity structure, Journal of the American Statistical
Association, 104, pp. 816-831.
6.
Bartolucci, F., Lupparelli, M. and Montanari,
G. E. (2009), Latent
Markov model for longitudinal binary data: an application to the performance
evaluation of nursing homes, Annals of Applied Statistics, 3,
pp. 611-636.
7.
Bartolucci, F. and Lupparelli, M. (2008), Focused
information criterion for capture-recapture models for closed populations, Scandinavian
Journal of Statistics, 35, pp. 629 - 649.
8.
Bartolucci, F., Pennoni, F. and Lupparelli, M.
(2008), Likelihood inference for the latent Markov Rasch model, in C. Huber, N.
Limnios, M. Mesbah, M. Nikulin (Eds.), Mathematical
Methods for Survival Analysis, Reliability and Quality of Life, Wiley,
pp. 239-254.
9.
Bartolucci, F. and Pennoni, F. (2007), On
the approximation of the quadratic exponential distribution in a latent
variable context, Biometrika, 94, pp. 745-754.
10. Bartolucci, F. (2007), A class of
multidimensional IRT models for testing unidimensionality and clustering items,
Psychometrika, 72, 141-157.
11. Bartolucci, F. and Pennoni, F. (2007), A
class of latent Markov models for capture-recapture data allowing for time,
heterogeneity and behavior effects, Biometrics, 63, pp. 568-578.
12. Bartolucci, F., Colombi, R. and Forcina, A.
(2007), An extended class of marginal
link functions for modelling contingency tables by equality and inequality
constraints, Statistica Sinica, 17, pp. 691-711.
13. Bartolucci, F. and Nigro, V. (2007), Maximum
likelihood estimation of an extended
latent Markov model for clustered binary panel data, Computational Statistics and data analisys, 51, pp.
3470-3483.
14. Bartolucci, F. (2007),
A penalized version of the empirical likelihood ratio for the population mean,
Statistics and Probability Letters, 77, pp. 104-110.
15. Bartolucci, F., Pennoni, F. and Francis, B. (2007), A latent
Markov model for detecting patterns of criminal activity, Journal of the
Royal Statistical Society, series A, 170, pp. 115–132.
16. Bartolucci, F. and Forcina, A. (2006), A class of latent marginal models for capture-recapture data with
continuous covariates, Journal of the
American Statistical Association, 101,
pp. 786-794.
17. Bartolucci, F. (2006), Likelihood inference for a class of latent Markov models under linear
hypotheses on the transition probabilities,
Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, series B, 68, pp. 155-178.
18. Bartolucci, F., Scaccia, L. and Mira, A.
(2006), Efficient Bayes factor estimation from the
Reversible Jump output, Biometrika, 93, pp. 41-52.
19. Bartolucci, F. and Montanari, G. E.
(2006), A new class of unbiased
estimators for the variance of the systematic sample mean, Journal
of Statistical Planning and Inference, 136,
pp. 1512-1525.
20. Scaccia, L. and Bartolucci, F. (2005), A Hierarchical Mixture Model for Gene Expression Data, New Developments in Classification and Data
Analysis, (editors: M. Vichi, P. Monari, S.
Mignani and A. Montanari), Springer, pp. 267-274 (Extended version of the paper presented at CLADAG 2003).
21. Bartolucci, F. (2005), Clustering univariate observations via mixtures of unimodal normal
mixtures, Journal of Classification, 22, pp.
203-219.
22. Bartolucci, F. and Forcina, A. (2005),
Likelihood inference on the underlying structure of IRT models, Psychometrika, 70, p. 31-43.
23. Bartolucci, F. and Scaccia, L. (2005), The use of mixtures for dealing
with non-normal regression errors, Computational Statistics and Data
Analysis, 48, pp. 821-834 (tables for the homeschedastic case).
24. Forcina, A. and Bartolucci, F. (2004),
Modelling quality of life variables with non-parametric mixtures, Environmetrics, 15, pp. 519-528.
25. Bartolucci, F. and Scaccia, L. (2004),
Testing for positive association in contingency tables with fixed margins, Computational statistics and Data Analysis, 47,
pp. 195-210.
26. Bartolucci, F. and De Luca, G. (2003), Likelihood-based inference for
asymmetric stochastic volatility models, Computational
Statistical and Data Analysis, 42, pp. 445-449.
27. Bartolucci, F., Mira, L. and Scaccia, L. (2003), Answering two
biological questions with a latent class model via MCMC applied to
capture-recapture data, in Applied Bayesian Statistical Studies in Biology
and Medicine, (editors: M. Di Bacco, G. D'Amore and F. Scalfari), Kluwer
Academic Publishers, pp. 7-23.
28. Bartolucci, F. and Forcina, A. (2002), Extended RC association models allowing for order restrictions and
marginal modelling, Journal of the
American Statistical Association, 97,
pp. 1192-1199.
29. Bartolucci, F. and Besag, J. (2002), A recursive algorithm for Markov
random fields, Biometrika, 89, pp. 724-730.
30. Bartolucci, F. and De Luca, G. (2002), Estimation of stochastic
volatility models, in Computational Methods
in Decision-Making, Economics and Finance (editors: E.J. Kontoghiorghes, B.
Rustem and S. Siokos Editors), Kluwer Academic Publishers, pp. 541-556.
31. Bartolucci, F., Forcina, A. and Dardanoni, V. (2001), Positive Quadrant
Dependence and Marginal Modelling in two-way tables with ordered margins, Journal of the American Statistical
Association, 96, pp. 1497-1505.
32. Bartolucci, F. and Forcina A. (2001), Analysis of capture-recapture data
with a Rasch-type model allowing for conditional dependence and
multidimensionality, Biometrics, 57, pp. 714-719.
33. Bartolucci, F. and De Luca, G. (2001), Maximum likelihood estimation for
a latent variable time series model, Applied
Stochastic Models for Business and Industry, 17, pp. 5-17.
34. Bartolucci, F. (2001), Developments of the Markov chain approach within
the distribution theory of runs, Computational
Statistics and Data Analysis, 36,
pp. 107-118.
35. Bartolucci, F. and Forcina A. (2000), A likelihood ratio test for MTP2
within binary variables, The Annals of
Statistics, 28, pp. 1206-1218.
Seminari (Talks)
Dynamic
logit model: pseudo conditional likelihood estimation and latent Markov
extension, Luiss Roma, 14/11/2008 (slides).
Riunione
PRIN 2005, Roma 18/11/2006 (slides).
Likelihood inference for a latent Markov Rasch model, with application to
educational assessment, Laboratoire de
Statistique Théorique et Appliquée (LSTA),
Université Pierre et Marie Curie - Paris VI, 06/03/2006 (slides).
A class of
latent marginal models for capture-recapture data with continuous covariates, Dipartimento di Economia
Politica e Metodi Quantitativi, Università di Pavia, 21/04/2005 (slides).
Empirical likelihood control
charts for the process mean, Department of Applied
Statistics and Operational Research, Università Politecnica de Valencia,
26/07/04 (slides).
Analisi di dati cattura-ricattura tramite una versione estesa del
modello di Rasch, Rasch Analysis: aspetti teorici e pratici,
Università Milano, 28/06/04 (slides).
A Markov Chain Approach to
Quality Control, Department of Applied Statistics and
Operational Research, Università Politecnica de Valencia, 17/07/03 (slides).
Introduzione all'ottimizzazione stocastica, Scuola estiva di ottimizzazione, Università
dell'Insubria, 10/07/03 (slides).
Modelli mistura per l'analisi di dati cattura-ricattura, Istituto di Metodi Quantitativi, Università
Bocconi, 05/06/03 (slides).
Analisi di dati categorici con modelli marginali espressi tramite
vincoli di uguaglianza e disuguaglianza, Ente per gli studi monetari, bancari e finanziali
Luigi Einaudi, Roma, 25/10/02 (slides).
Una classe di modelli a variabile latente per l'analisi di dati di tipo
cattura-ricattura, Istituto di Economia, Facoltà di Economia,
Università dell’Insubria, Varese, 04/06/02 (slides).
A Likelihood Ratio Test for MTP2 within Binary
Variables, Department of
Statistics of Penn State University,
Software
(Software)
Software described in the paper “Approximate conditional inference for panel logit
models allowing for state dependence and heterogeneity” (under review),
by F. Bartolucci and V. Nigro.
Software described in the paper “Maximum likelihood estimation of an extended
latent Markov model for clustered binary panel data” (Computational
Statistics and Data Analysis, 2007), by F. Bartolucci and V. Nigro.
Software described in the paper “A latent Markov model for detecting patterns of
criminal activity” (Journal of the Royal Statistical Society – Series A, 2007),
by F. Bartolucci, F. Pennoni and B. Francis.
Software described in the paper “A class of multidimensional IRT models for
testing unidimensionality and clustering items” (Psychometrika, 2007),
by F. Bartolucci.
Software described in the paper “A class of latent marginal models for
capture-recapture data with continuous covariates” (Journal of the American Statistical Association, 2006), by F. Bartolucci
and A. Forcina.
Software described in the paper “Clustering univariate
observations via mixtures of unimodal normal mixtures” (Journal of
Classification, in press, 22, pp. 203-219), by
F. Bartolucci.
Software
described in the paper “The Analysis of Capture-Recapture Data with a
Rasch-type Model allowing for Conditional Dependence and Multidimensionality” (Biometrics,
2001), by F. Bartolucci and A. Forcina.
Links
American Statistical Association
Applied Stochastic Models
in Business and Industry
Computational
Statistics and Data Analysis
Institute of Mathematical Statistics
Institute of Mathematics and Statistics
Journal of
Computational and Graphical Statistics
Journal of
the American Statistical Association
Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference