[Forum SIS] Seminar Andrea Cerioli at Tor Vergata, 13th December 2019

[Alessio Farcomeni]

It is my great pleasure to announce that on Friday 13th December, 2019,
12.00 to 13.30,
Andrea Cerioli (University of Parma) will give the following Riccardo Faini
CEIS-University of Tor Vergata seminar:

Title: Benford’s Law and Robust Statistics for the Detection of Frauds in
International Trade

Abstract: The contrast of fraud in international trade is a crucial task of
economic regulations within the European Union. The volumes involved are
huge and under-reporting of traded values leads to significant depletion of
the resources available for the EU and its Member States. We show two
complementary approaches to fraud detection in this domain, relying on
different assumptions about the fraud generation process. The first and
more established path is based on robust statistical methods for linear
regression and clustering. The second emerging approach is based on testing
conformance of transactions digits to Benford’s law. For the latter, we
also address the problem of reducing the false-positive rate and to develop
corrected goodness-of-fit tests when Benford’s law does not hold.

Note: This talk describes joint work with several people, including Lucio
Barabesi, Domenico Perrotta, Marco Riani and the research staff at the
Joint Research Centre of the European Commission (JRC). The motivation of
this research line comes from a longstanding collaboration of the JRC with
the Anti-fraud Office of the European Union (OLAF), supported by the
HERCULE Programme of the European Commission.

The seminar will be held at the Faculty of Economics of University of Rome
"Tor Vergata", Building B, first floor, room A.

More information here:
http://www.ceistorvergata.it/area.asp?a=403&oc=499&d=589

best regards
Alessio
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