Tel: +30 075 585 5227, Fax: +39 075 585 5950
forcina(at)stat.unipg.it
Research Interests: latent class models as a tool for causal
inference; marginal models for multiway
tables and markov properties;
Likelihood inference for sets of equality and inequality constraints; analysis of capture-recapture data;
Recent publications:
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Forcina, A. (2012) Smoothness of conditional
independence models for discrete data.. .Journal of Multivariate Analysis,
106, 49-56.
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Dardanon, V., Fiorini, M., Forcina, A. (2012) Stochastic
monotonicity in intergenerational
mobility tables. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 27, 85-107
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Forcina, A., Ganldi, M, Bracalente, B. (2012) A
revised Brown and Payne model of voting
behaviour applied to the 2009 elections in Italy. Statistical Methods and
Applications, 21, 109-119.
- Bracalente, B., Ganldi, M., Fprcina, A. (2012) Elezioni 2012 nel comune di Milano: una
analisi del comportamento di voto alla luce dei flussi elettorali.
Submitted
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Dardanoni, V., Forcina,
A.. Li Donni, P. (2012) Multivariate ordered
regression. Submitted.
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Forcina, A.,Giovagnoli, A., Stanghellini, E., (2011) Non compliance in surgical patients with
herniated lumbar discs: an application of an extended latent class model as
selection model. Statistical Modelling, 11(4), 311.323.
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Forcina, A. (2011) The instrumental variable
estimand as an average causal effect under partial compliance, Far East Journal of Theoretical
Statistics, 35, 137-147.
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Evans, R., Forcina, A. (2011) Two
algorithms for fitting constrained marginal models. Submitted
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Forcina, A. (2911) Modelling
sources of ecological fallacy within a revised Brown and Payne model of voting
transitions. Draft.
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Forcina, A., Modica, S. (2011) Education transmission: a
two-latent-class model. Submitted.
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Forcina, A., Lupparelli, M., Marchetti, G. M. (2010) Conditional independence
and marginal link functions for discrete data. Journal of Multivariate
Analysis, 101, 2519-2527.
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Forcina, A. Stime di flussi
elettorali da dati aggregati, SIS Magazine, 30.11.2009, http://www.sis-statistica.it/magazine/spip.php?article166
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Dardanoni, V., Forcina, A.
and Modica, S. (2009) .Secondary
effects in education transmission: a finite mixture model Draft.
- Paolo
Giorgi Rossi , Jessica Mantovani, Eliana Ferroni , Antonio Forcina , Elena
Stanghellini , Filippo Curtale , Piero Borgia, (2009) Incidence of bacterial meningitis(2001-2005) in Lazio, Italy: the
results of an integrated surveillance system.
BMC Infectious
Diseases, 9:13, http://www.biomedcentral.com/1471-2334/9/13.
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Forcina,
A., Marchetti, G.M. (2009) The
Brown and Payne model of voter transition revisited. Cladag 2009.
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Folletti,
I., Forcina, A., Marabini, A., Bussetti, A., Siracusa, A. (2008) Have the prevalence and incidence of
occupational asthma and rhinitis because of laboratory animals declined in the
last 25 years? Allergy, 63: 834–841,
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Forcina, A. (2008). Identifiability of extended latent class models with individual
covariates. Computational Statistics and Data Analysis, 52, 5263-5268.
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Forcina,
A., Dardanoni, V. (2008) Regression models for multivariate
ordered responses via the Plackett distribution, Journal of Multivariate Analysis
99, 2472–2478).
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Bartolucci, F., Colombi, R. and Forcina, A. (2007) An extended class of marginal
link functions for modelling contingency tables by equality and inequality
constraints, Statistica Sinica, 17,
691-711.
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Dardanoni, V., Forcina, A.
(2008) Multivariate ordered regression.
Mimeo.
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Bracalente B., Ferracuti
L., Forcina A. (2006) L?analisi dei
flussi elettorali in Umbria: le elezioni dal 2004 al 2006. AUR&S,
http://www.aur-umbria.it/rivista_7_indice.htm
- Bartolucci, F.,
Forcina, A. (2006). A class of lkatent marginal models for capture-recapture
data sith individual covariates, Journal of the American Statistical
Association, 101, 786-794.
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Forcina, A. (2006). Causal Effects in the
presence of non compliance: a latent variable interpretation (with
discussion), Metron, 64, 265-302
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Bartolucci F., Forcina A. (2005)
.Likelihood inference on the underlying structure of IRT models, . Psuchometrika,70, 31-43.
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Forcina, A:, Bartolucci, F. (2004) Modelling quality of life variables with non
parametric mixtures, . Environmetrics, 15, 519-528.
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Forcina A. (2003). Probabilistic
Modelling: an Historical and Philosophical Digression. Foundations of
Statistical Inference. Proceedings of the Shoresh Conference 2000, Eds. Y.
Haitovsky, H. R. Lerche and Y. Ritov, Springer, p. 69-76.
- Bartolucci F., Colombi R., Forcina A. (2003) An extended class of
marginal link functions for modelling contingency tables by equality and
inequality constraints. Under revision
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Bartolucci
F., Forcina A. (2002). Extended RC Association Models allowing
for Order Restrictions and Marginal Modelling. Journal of the American
Statistical Association, 97, 1192-99..
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Bartolucci, F., Forcina A. 2001) The Analysis of Capture-Recapture Data with
a Rasch-Type Model allowing for Conditional Dependence and Multidimensionality.
Biometrics, 57, 714-719.
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Colombi R, Forcina A. (2001) Marginal
regression modelsfor the analysis of positive association. Biometrika, 88,
1007-1019.
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Bartolucci F., Dardanoni V., Forcina A.
(2001) Positive Quadrant Dependence and Marginal Modellingin Two-Way Tables
with Ordered Margins. Journal of the American Statistical Association,
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Bartolucci , F., Forcina A. (2000) A
likelihood ratio test for MTP2 within binary variables. Annals of Statistics,
28, 1206-1218.
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Colombi, R., Forcina A.(2000) Modellazione di dati discreti con vincoli di
uguaglianza e di diseguaglianza. STATISTICA, 195-214.
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Dardanonu V., Forcina F. (1999)
Inference for the Lorenz curve orderings. The Econometrics Journal, 2, 1999,
49-75.
- Siracusa A., Paggiaro P. .L, Forcina A., Talini D., Marabini A.,
Benvenuti A.,Viegi G., Chan-Yeung M. (1999) Dyspnoea is associated with
pulmonary function impairment in exposed workers. Respiratory Medecine, 93,
39-45.